Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 108.397107 119.443996 130.689347 142.967810 155.971439 169.308372 183.996254
2025-12-07 91.243891 107.762493 125.301139 145.200679 167.045144 190.193134 216.475091
2025-12-14 76.279768 96.395368 118.627615 144.753411 174.351997 206.599260 244.143551
2025-12-21 66.054765 88.939891 115.180684 146.986407 184.002772 225.268933 274.297208
2025-12-28 59.074701 84.317522 114.236176 151.489509 195.843253 246.234758 307.092382
2026-01-04 52.374605 79.200194 112.033841 153.966101 204.942721 263.851831 336.029792
2026-01-11 47.334474 75.555735 111.132773 157.607130 215.141317 282.601660 366.266312
2026-01-18 42.727680 71.947087 109.853140 160.437983 224.121501 299.785012 394.650211
2026-01-25 35.431399 63.907997 102.208168 154.670152 222.056159 303.370356 406.613439
2026-02-01 30.053791 57.967114 96.822817 151.342400 222.649298 309.883845 421.868379
2026-02-08 26.126072 53.714450 93.367397 150.229756 225.800614 319.363150 440.612363
2026-02-15 23.483318 51.136777 92.020812 151.753807 232.217097 332.830866 464.235604
2026-02-22 22.063284 50.431590 93.364640 157.047641 243.759114 353.038251 496.630759
2026-03-01 20.004387 48.449227 92.693695 159.470200 251.504785 368.512067 523.299584
2026-03-08 17.463692 45.334540 90.101970 159.021608 255.316339 378.936484 543.691655
2026-03-15 15.839665 43.656728 89.566617 161.409298 262.905226 394.221976 570.271107
2026-03-22 14.878028 43.097315 90.712122 166.200986 273.782175 413.821834 602.427204
2026-03-29 13.576298 41.716620 90.436116 168.835068 281.667573 429.545863 629.724801
2026-04-05 12.627251 40.918069 91.024548 172.702093 291.246430 447.510530 659.951653
2026-04-12 11.609898 39.845048 91.073051 175.706860 299.609444 463.902347 688.234676
2026-04-19 9.257379 35.490930 85.285313 169.586819 294.932200 462.884599 693.980314
2026-04-26 7.594174 32.349760 81.324172 166.053691 293.744789 466.381053 705.476174
2026-05-03 6.439878 30.200503 78.951696 164.872094 295.832808 474.213979 722.598788